Should investors try to see every great deal, or is missing some acceptable if focus is maintained elsewhere?
4 recorded positions from 4 people, first said Feb 8, 2021. They do not agree — the readings below are what each one actually argued.
Focused effort on fewer great deals beats scattergun full coverage
Nico Wittenborn · May 22, 2023
The way to reduce investment misses is to decide better on a small number of companies rather than to increase deal volume.
His binding constraint is not time but the mind space required to make good decisions, so he consciously stays away from volume.
Scope: framed as his own approach, contrasted with Harry's high-volume platform
30:55 20VC: Why Your Fund Model Should Not Rely on $10BN+ Outcomes, Why the Large Funds Got Too Large, The Rise of Solo GP's; The Pros and Cons & Is Consumer Subscription Even a Good Sector to Invest in with Nico Wittenborn @ Adjacent
Harry Stebbings · May 29, 2023
An investor does not need to see every deal, only enough of the great ones; the belligerent insistence on seeing everything produces an unfocused scattergun approach
He is comfortable missing a deal if he is working on something great instead
6:04 20VC: Why Financial Models at Seed, $5M Seed Rounds & The Fear of Signalling Risk is all BS | Why Multi-Stage Firms Have Destroyed Seed & Who Wins and Who Loses in the Next 10 Years of Venture with Adam Besvinick, Founding Partner @ Looking Glass Capital
Also on the record
Michael Eisenberg · Feb 8, 2021
Venture is a low market share business — you will only ever get some of the winners, so the goal is to capture some rather than to avoid missing any
You can't own all the outcomes, so missed deals are simply part of the structure of the business
31:51 Venture is inherently a low market share business so the goal is capturing some winners not avoiding all misses
Adam Besvinick · May 29, 2023
It is better to see a great company and pass on it than to never see it at all
Being in the deal flow is what matters; having done the job for a decade he now understands the preference for seeing everything over the comfort of ignorance
5:11 Seeing every great deal beats selective ignorance
Your assistant can query this graph directly — 4 positions here, 19,646 across the corpus. Add 996.fm over MCP.